Question 1

How does Poisson distribution work for betting?

Accepted Answer

The Poisson distribution models the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval. For sports betting, it's used to predict goals, corners, cards, etc. based on team averages (λ).

Question 2

What is λ (lambda) in this calculator?

Accepted Answer

Lambda (λ) represents the expected average number of events. For goals, use team xG; for corners, use average corners per match; for cards, use average cards received.

Question 3

How accurate are these probabilities?

Accepted Answer

Poisson is highly accurate for rare, independent events like goals. For corners and cards, accuracy may vary. Always combine with contextual analysis.

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